War with China is indeed madness, and we do not have the mettle for it. You failed to mention that China's advanced ACBMs go much farther than Taiwan so they wouldnt even have to risk men or materiel taking the carriers out, and this country cannot stand one fully crewed carrier sinking.
My piece this week will be about the insane drive to bomb Mexico, which, though less apocalyptic, is terrible policy. Also, of course, related to fentanyl, as if they want a world opium war. We are ruled by idiots.
Btw, I wouldnt normally correct a typographical error but this is an obscure homonym and you might not know: the expression is "bury the lede." I don't know wtf a "lede" is and "lead" makes more sense, but it really is "lede."
I fear that war is inevitable. Much to my surprise last year, all the blue and yellow signs and ribbons went up in my neighborhood in spite of there being a fairly large Jewish community here. I guess it's now okay to support Nazis around people who likely lost extended family in WW2. Those flags have mostly come down now. But probably not because people woke up. Likely because the media moved on. "Is it bank-run season? I still have my train derailment decorations up!" If the media in the U.S. pushes war the way they did COVID the sheep will go along. And sheep to the slaughter we will be, because as you astutely pointed out, we are way too soft and unprepared for this fight.
My question to you is about China's energy supply. Even if they broker deals for all the oil they need from the middle east, isn't it still vulnerable in transport? Russia is the world's second largest supply, but is the infrastructure there to get it to China? And although Russia and China seem to be strange bedfellows now, that's not a match made in heaven. My guess is that we will lack the manufacturing tech and physically/mentally fit people, and China will lack the energy supply in a real shooting war.
some basic points about future Chinese invasion of Taiwan that sadly is always missing from "expert" discussion:
1) On the economic side:
a: majority of Taiwan's foreign investment goes to China
b: majority of Taiwan's foreign trade is with China
c: majority of Taiwanese working overseas work in China
2) On the Military side:
a: The Taiwanese military strategic mission given to them by the government is to hold for 30 days.
b: two districts of Taiwan are islands in the territorial waters of China, they were deemed indefensible in the 90's, the military thus admits they will not defend them. They fall within 48 hours.
c: two islands in the South China seas are closer to mainland than Taiwan and similarly indefensible. They fall within 72 hours.
d: if Taiwan is an unsinkable carrier to the east of China then Penghu is an unsinkable carrier to the west of Taiwan and whoever controls it controls Taiwan biggest ports and harbors. it should fall in 7 to 10 days.
e: once Penghu is transformed into a forward base of operations invading Taiwan becomes an order of magnitude easier than what the "expert" claim it will be.
I don't know if the invasion of Taiwan's main island will be successful, if it fails Taiwan will remain autonomous, but it will lose the whole of its foreign investment and trade, every island apart of the main island, internally it will be shattered and destroyed.
NB: The Qing Empire defeated the Dutch and kicked them out of Taiwan by taking over Penghu and making it a forward base of operations, do you know a single "expert" who mentioned that historical fact?!!
War with China is indeed madness, and we do not have the mettle for it. You failed to mention that China's advanced ACBMs go much farther than Taiwan so they wouldnt even have to risk men or materiel taking the carriers out, and this country cannot stand one fully crewed carrier sinking.
My piece this week will be about the insane drive to bomb Mexico, which, though less apocalyptic, is terrible policy. Also, of course, related to fentanyl, as if they want a world opium war. We are ruled by idiots.
Btw, I wouldnt normally correct a typographical error but this is an obscure homonym and you might not know: the expression is "bury the lede." I don't know wtf a "lede" is and "lead" makes more sense, but it really is "lede."
Do you think the SVB Crash is the beginning of the big crisis? Or is there still some time?
I fear that war is inevitable. Much to my surprise last year, all the blue and yellow signs and ribbons went up in my neighborhood in spite of there being a fairly large Jewish community here. I guess it's now okay to support Nazis around people who likely lost extended family in WW2. Those flags have mostly come down now. But probably not because people woke up. Likely because the media moved on. "Is it bank-run season? I still have my train derailment decorations up!" If the media in the U.S. pushes war the way they did COVID the sheep will go along. And sheep to the slaughter we will be, because as you astutely pointed out, we are way too soft and unprepared for this fight.
My question to you is about China's energy supply. Even if they broker deals for all the oil they need from the middle east, isn't it still vulnerable in transport? Russia is the world's second largest supply, but is the infrastructure there to get it to China? And although Russia and China seem to be strange bedfellows now, that's not a match made in heaven. My guess is that we will lack the manufacturing tech and physically/mentally fit people, and China will lack the energy supply in a real shooting war.
some basic points about future Chinese invasion of Taiwan that sadly is always missing from "expert" discussion:
1) On the economic side:
a: majority of Taiwan's foreign investment goes to China
b: majority of Taiwan's foreign trade is with China
c: majority of Taiwanese working overseas work in China
2) On the Military side:
a: The Taiwanese military strategic mission given to them by the government is to hold for 30 days.
b: two districts of Taiwan are islands in the territorial waters of China, they were deemed indefensible in the 90's, the military thus admits they will not defend them. They fall within 48 hours.
c: two islands in the South China seas are closer to mainland than Taiwan and similarly indefensible. They fall within 72 hours.
d: if Taiwan is an unsinkable carrier to the east of China then Penghu is an unsinkable carrier to the west of Taiwan and whoever controls it controls Taiwan biggest ports and harbors. it should fall in 7 to 10 days.
e: once Penghu is transformed into a forward base of operations invading Taiwan becomes an order of magnitude easier than what the "expert" claim it will be.
I don't know if the invasion of Taiwan's main island will be successful, if it fails Taiwan will remain autonomous, but it will lose the whole of its foreign investment and trade, every island apart of the main island, internally it will be shattered and destroyed.
NB: The Qing Empire defeated the Dutch and kicked them out of Taiwan by taking over Penghu and making it a forward base of operations, do you know a single "expert" who mentioned that historical fact?!!